• MarketBeat shows Match Group (MTCH) at consensus Hold from 16 firms: 9 Hold, 7 Buy.
  • The average 12-month price target is $42.46, against an opening price of $42.40 cited in a 15 October syndicated article.
  • The consensus and target have been unchanged since 7 October; only the Buy/Hold split moved, after a Weiss Ratings upgrade on 8 October.
  • Match Group reports third-quarter results on Monday 2 November after the market close.

MarketBeat's tally of analyst ratings has Match Group (MTCH) at a consensus Hold from 16 firms, with nine Hold and seven Buy ratings and an average 12-month price target of $42.46. A MarketBeat-sourced article published on 15 October said the stock opened at $42.40, with a 12-month range of $28.81 to $44.94 and a market cap of $9.73B.

That price comes with a caveat: the article says the open was "on Friday", but 15 October was a Thursday, so DII treats it as approximate. MarketBeat's own 10 October piece gave $41.09. Either way, the shares sit at or close to the average target.

The DII Take

This is a non-event, and that is the point. A stock trading level with its average target tells you the sell side sees Match as fairly priced and is waiting for proof that Tinder's payer decline is easing. The 16-firm count also flatters the sample, since MarketBeat's tally includes ratings services such as Weiss Ratings and Zacks Research, not only banks.

A Hold built on a split sample

MarketBeat puts the average 12-month price target at $42.46 among firms that issued ratings in the last year. The consensus did not move in October. On 7 October MarketBeat counted six Buy and ten Hold ratings at the same target, after Zacks cut MTCH from strong-buy to hold on 5 October. Weiss upgraded it from hold (c+) to buy (b-) on 8 October, producing the 7/9 split.

Recent broker moves were small. Truist raised its target from $37 to $41 (Hold) and TD Cowen cut from $46 to $45 (Buy), both on 5 August. Morgan Stanley set $40 the same day.

Other aggregators disagree. TipRanks shows 11 analysts, three Buy and eight Hold, at $42.00. StockAnalysis shows 20 analysts, a Buy rating and $41.88.

What the November print has to settle

The Q2 numbers explain the caution. Match Group reported revenue of about $853M, down 1%, and adjusted EBITDA up 14% to $331M. Hinge revenue grew 22%, while Tinder payers fell 5% to 8.5M. Q3 revenue guidance is $885M to $895M.

A stock trading level with its average target tells you the sell side sees Match as fairly priced and is waiting for proof that Tinder's payer decline is easing.

Match Group reports Q3 on Monday 2 November after the close, with a call at 5:00 p.m. ET. For contrast, MarketBeat rates Bumble a consensus Reduce at $4.12; we covered its target recently.

  • Match Group's $42.46 average target sits almost level with its share price, so MarketBeat's consensus implies little upside before the 2 November results.
  • Aggregator counts range from 11 to 20 analysts, so operators and investors should check the methodology before quoting any single consensus.
  • Tinder payer trends and Q3 guidance of $885M to $895M are the figures most likely to move targets.

Sources: Match Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MTCH) Stock Has Average Price Target of $42.46 (MarketBeat); Match Group second quarter 2026 results, Form 8-K Exhibit 99.1 (Match Group / SEC); Match Group to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Results (Match Group Investor Relations); Match Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MTCH) Stock Now Rated Hold by Wall Street Brokerages (American Market News); Match Group stock bumped down to Hold by Zacks Research (MarketBeat); Bumble Inc. (BMBL) - What Are Researchers Saying About This Stock? (MarketBeat); Match Group (MTCH) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (The Motley Fool)